Western New York Weather: Sunny Fourth of July Expected After Thursday Showers

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Buffalo, N.Y. – Western New York residents should brace for possible early morning thunderstorms Thursday and again late Sunday as humid summer air fuels spotty storm chances across the region.

According to the National Weather Service in Buffalo, isolated showers and thunderstorms could develop after 3 a.m. tonight, with a 30% chance of rain before clearing by mid-morning Thursday. Another weak disturbance may trigger additional showers late Sunday into early Monday, with a 40% chance of rain.

Thursday will be mostly sunny after the morning clouds clear, with highs near 78°F and light west winds. The Fourth of July will bring near-perfect weather for parades, fireworks, and outdoor grilling, with highs around 78°F, light winds, and no rain expected.

Saturday looks warm and dry with highs reaching 83°F, but by Sunday night, another round of scattered storms may arrive, especially after 2 a.m. Residents planning travel or outdoor activities late Sunday should stay weather-aware.

The warm, humid trend continues into Monday with highs in the mid-80s and more chances for afternoon storms. No severe weather is expected, but occasional lightning and brief downpours are possible.

More updates are expected as timing of Sunday’s storm chances becomes clearer.


🌤️ Five-Day Forecast for Buffalo, NY:

  • Thursday: AM showers possible, mostly sunny, high 78°F
  • Friday (Independence Day): Sunny, high 78°F
  • Saturday: Mostly sunny, high 83°F
  • Sunday: Mostly sunny early, storm chances late, high 86°F
  • Monday: Thunderstorms possible, high 84°F